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stephen fisher | Stephen Tall

Posts Tagged “stephen fisher”

Reasons to be careful about new analysis suggesting Lib Dems “set to lose several more seats than national polls with uniform swing would predict”

by Stephen Tall on December 9, 2014

A new analysis by Oxford academic Stephen Fisher (a member of the team which was behind the scarily accurate BBC/ITN exit poll at the 2010 election) douses the comfort blanket to which many of us Lib Dems have been clinging, suggesting as it does that the Lib Dems are losing more votes in our strongest […]

Is Nick Harvey right that “Labour is on course to win the next election”?

by Stephen Tall on November 23, 2013

Sir Nick Harvey, Lib Dem MP for North Devon (and former defence minister), has little doubt who’s going to win the next election, as he tells the Huffington Post: … Harvey has a “clear sense” of what he thinks is going to happen. And even more than that, he is “astonished” that few others within […]