Posts Tagged “icm”

New ICM poll: Do you want the okay-ish news or the bad news?

by Stephen Tall on May 12, 2014

Let’s start with the okay-ish news… ICM, the ‘gold standard’ pollster, has the Lib Dems at 13% in the Guardian’s latest monthly survey. That wouldn’t usually be much to write home about – it is after all 10% lower than the party scored at the last general election – but after a string of polls […]

Latest ICM poll: Lib Dems at 12% for Westminster, but just 6% in the Euros

by Stephen Tall on April 15, 2014

As I’ve mentioned before, The Guardian’s ICM poll is the one I wait for each month. The latest figures are now up, and the figures are… well, I’m not sure what to make of them really. In the snapshot of Westminster voting intentions, the Lib Dems are unchanged from last month on 12%, ahead of […]

Latest ICM poll shows Lib Dems at 14%. I’d call that “mildly encouraging”

by Stephen Tall on January 14, 2014

The latest ICM poll for The Guardian is published today. Its topline figures show Labour on 35% (-2%), the Tories on 32% (n/c), with the Lib Dems on 14% (+2%) and Ukip on 10% (+1%). The changes from last month are all within the margin of error, so nothing too dramatic can be read into […]

Ukip surge to 18% in latest ICM poll: Lib Dems at 11%

by Stephen Tall on May 13, 2013

ICM: the pollster Lib Dems love and rely on the most. Maybe not tonight, though. Here’s The Guardian’s graph and report: Ukip’s 18% is the best it has achieved with any pollster in any of the surveys logged at UK Polling Report. It is all the more remarkable for ICM, whose careful adjustments for voters […]

Mrs Thatcher’s impact: how the public sees it now, how LDV readers saw it in 2008

by Stephen Tall on April 9, 2013

The Guardian is the first off the blocks with an ICM poll asking the public’s retrospective verdict on Margaret Thatcher’s record in office. Here’s the topline figure of whether her 11-year premiership had been good or bad for Britain: The paper also asked about specific policies, finding: The sale of council homes and tackling of […]

Three things we’ve learned from today’s opinion polls

by Stephen Tall on February 11, 2013

Three interesting and important poll findings to report today… Big lead for Labour according to ICM First, the Guardian’s monthly ICM poll is out, showing the biggest Labour lead in almost a decade: Labour 41% (+3%) Conservatives 29% (-4%) Lib Dems 13% (-2%) Ukip 9% (+3%) Others 8% (+1%) The movements are more or less […]

Pollwatch – State of the parties (summer 2010): Reasons to keep calm and carry on

by Stephen Tall on August 21, 2010

There have been a rather astonishing 36 opinion polls in the six weeks since LDV’s last polls round-up at the beginning of July. Thirty of those 36 originate from just one polling company, YouGov. So let’s bring you up-to-date with July and August’s polls in chronological order of publication: Con 40, Lab 36, Lib Dem […]

ICM: 59% of Lib Dem voters support marriage tax breaks … Or do they?

by Stephen Tall on January 26, 2010

The Guardian’s monthly ICM poll, published today, asks a couple of intriguing questions.
For a start, we discover where Lib Dem supporters perceive they sit within the class system (however self-defined) – 50% say they are middle-class, and 48% that they are working-class. This compares with 38% middle-class to 61% working class for Labour; and […]

A look back at the polls: February 2009

by Stephen Tall on March 1, 2009

We tend not to be too poll-obsessed here at LDV – of course we look at them, as do all other politico-geeks, but viewed in isolation no one poll will tell you very much beyond what you want to read (…)

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