Posts Tagged “Polls”
Opinion polls yadda yadda. OR “Does Nate Silver mean nothing to you? Did he write in vain?”
by Stephen Tall on May 21, 2013
Two new polls last night: the daily YouGov tracker and the first post-local elections poll from Survation. The spread is interesting: Labour: 35% (Survation 39% (YouGov) Conservatives: 24% (S), 31% (YG) Lib Dems: 11% (S), 10% (YG) Ukip: 22% (S), 14% (YG) As Anthony Wells points out, Survation asks whether people will vote Ukip (most [...]
Ukip surge to 18% in latest ICM poll: Lib Dems at 11%
by Stephen Tall on May 13, 2013
ICM: the pollster Lib Dems love and rely on the most. Maybe not tonight, though. Here’s The Guardian’s graph and report: Ukip’s 18% is the best it has achieved with any pollster in any of the surveys logged at UK Polling Report. It is all the more remarkable for ICM, whose careful adjustments for voters [...]
Mrs Thatcher’s impact: how the public sees it now, how LDV readers saw it in 2008
by Stephen Tall on April 9, 2013
The Guardian is the first off the blocks with an ICM poll asking the public’s retrospective verdict on Margaret Thatcher’s record in office. Here’s the topline figure of whether her 11-year premiership had been good or bad for Britain: The paper also asked about specific policies, finding: The sale of council homes and tackling of [...]
++ Another new Eastleigh poll – and this time it shows the Tories in front by 4%
by Stephen Tall on February 23, 2013
Last night brought news of a Populus poll for The Times showing the Lib Dems ahead of the Tories by 33%-28%, a Lib Dem lead of 5%. But tonight a Survation poll for the Mail on Sunday has shown the Tories ahead of the Lib Dems by 33%-29%, a Tory lead of 4%. Survation conducted [...]
Three things we’ve learned from today’s opinion polls
by Stephen Tall on February 11, 2013
Three interesting and important poll findings to report today… Big lead for Labour according to ICM First, the Guardian’s monthly ICM poll is out, showing the biggest Labour lead in almost a decade: Labour 41% (+3%) Conservatives 29% (-4%) Lib Dems 13% (-2%) Ukip 9% (+3%) Others 8% (+1%) The movements are more or less [...]
And the winner of our Liberal Voice of the Year award is… Sam Bowman
by Stephen Tall on January 14, 2013
It’s a fortnight since we launched our search for the Liberal Voice of the Year with the aim of finding the individual or group which has had the biggest impact on liberalism in the past 12 months. This is LibDemVoice’s sixth such annual award, and as is our tradition, we looked beyond the ranks of [...]
So, about that Lib Dem wipeout in 2015 then…
by Stephen Tall on January 9, 2013
Ask most commentators about Lib Dem prospects at the next general election and a couple of words are sure to crop up sooner or later: either ‘wipeout’ or ‘annihilation’. I understand why. Look at the opinion polls and the party is bobbing around the 10% mark. Compare that to the 23% we won in 2010, [...]
NEW POLL: Who is your Liberal Voice of the Year?
by Stephen Tall on January 1, 2013
Today’s the day we launch our search for the Liberal Voice of the Year to find the individual or group which has had the biggest impact on liberalism in the past 12 months. This is the sixth annual award, and as is our tradition, we’re looking beyond the ranks of the Lib Dems to find [...]
4-in-10 Lib Dem voters inclined to leave EU, says poll – a reminder why our pitch should be ‘In Europe to reform the EU’
by Stephen Tall on November 18, 2012
‘If a referendum were held on the UK’s membership of the European Union, how do you think you would vote?’ That’s the question posed by polling company Opinium and published today in The Observer — with the following result reported by the paper: Almost four out of 10 Liberal Democrat voters support leaving the EU, [...]
PollWatch: For which other parties would LibDem voters consider voting?
by Stephen Tall on November 18, 2012
There’s an interesting poll conducted by ComRes and published today. There’s no surprise in its headline voting intention figures, below — they’re in line with other surveys and indeed with what ‘Super Thursday’s elections found: Conservative 31% (-2) Labour 43% (+2) Lib Dem 10% (0) UKIP 8% (-1) Others 8% (+1) But what is new [...]
