Posts Tagged “peter kellner”

Did you know the Lib Dems have lost half a million voters to Ukip? Here’s what I think it means.

by Stephen Tall on December 18, 2012

Conservative peer Lord Ashcroft — who, as ConservativeHome’s Tim Montgomerie has noted before, spends more on polling than all three parties combined — has today published the latest survey looking at the timely issue of the threat of Ukip. Nigel Farage’s party is now regularly polling around the level of the Lib Dems, seemingly taking […]

Your essential weekend reader — 12 must-read articles you may have missed

by Stephen Tall on December 15, 2012

It’s Saturday evening, so here are twelve thought-provoking articles to stimulate your thinking juices culled from the 50+ I’ve linked to from my Delcicious account this last week… Groundhog year – Peter Kellner examines the polls to find how 12 months’ political turmoil has shifted popular opinion. The answer — not at all: ‘public reaction […]

Your essential weekend reader — 8 must-read articles you may have missed

by Stephen Tall on October 20, 2012

It’s Saturday morning, so here are eight thought-provoking articles to stimulate your thinking juices… Three big things I’ve got wrong since I’ve starting blogging and commenting – ConservativeHome’s Tim Montgomerie confesses to a trio of big errors on the NHS, higher-rate tax and equalities: “One of the many reasons I don’t want to be an […]

The 15 words that mean the Coalition won’t fall, no matter what happens to Lords reform

by Stephen Tall on July 9, 2012

There’s a very simple reason why — even if enough Tory MPs inflict the Coalition’s first defeat on a key plank of the Coalition Agreement which appeared in their last three manifestos — the Government will not fall tomorrow. It’s these 15 words from the May 2010 Programme for Government: The deficit reduction programme takes […]

Peter Kellner’s advice to the Lib Dems: ditch boundary changes, and get a new leader before 2015

by Stephen Tall on June 19, 2012

Chairman of polling firm YouGov, Peter Kellner, has a must-read article over at his firm’s site analysing the big challenges facing the Lib Dems at the next election. I know some Lib Dems might baulk at reading it: Mr Kellner, husband of Labour peer Baroness Ashton, is a self-declared non-Lib Dem, and YouGov’s daily polling […]

Is the Coalition Government’s honeymoon really over?

by Stephen Tall on July 27, 2010

Forget the Lib Dems’ current poll-ratings for a moment – though today’s 19% from ICM will have done a fair amount to repair nerves frayed by YouGov’s poorer recent scores – and let’s focus on the Coalition Government as a whole. Last week, YouGov’s Peter Kellner stated categorically: The honeymoon is over. His logic was […]

YouGov ‘push-polling’ mystery deepens

by Stephen Tall on April 19, 2010

Earlier today Lib Dem Voice published a post asking the question, Are YouGov and Murdoch ‘push-polling’ for the Tories? This followed internet reports that the online pollster had been posing deliberately leading questions designed not simply to test public opinion, but to lead it.
Liberal Conspiracy picked up the story and put the question direct […]