Posts Tagged “Parliamentary by-elections”

Rochester & Strood by-election: Ukip win, Lib Dems lose 11th deposit

by Stephen Tall on November 21, 2014

Mark Reckless won his bid to be re-elected an MP under the UKIP banner last night, following his eve-of-conference defection from the Conservatives. That this wasn’t at all a surprise — the swing from the Tories to UKIP was 28% — says something about the febrile dynamics of politics at the moment. Support for Labour […]

Newark by-election: what I told BBC’s Daily Politics

by Stephen Tall on June 6, 2014

I got a call from the BBC’s Daily Politics this morning asking if I’d be willing to pitch up this lunchtime to discuss the Lib Dem performance, as the party wasn’t willing to put up anyone official. (Labour didn’t either.) I duly did so and you can see what I said below. If you want […]

Newark by-election: Tories win well, Ukip falls short, Labour dips, Lib Dems collapse

by Stephen Tall on June 6, 2014

A lot of politics is about momentum. At the moment it’s the Tories who have it. Not quite the Big Mo, but a Moderate Mo that’s growing. Here are the results of last night’s Newark by-election: Robert Jenrick (Con) 17,431 (45.03%, -8.82%) Roger Helmer (UKIP) 10,028 (25.91%, +22.09%) Michael Payne (Lab) 6,842 (17.68%, -4.65%) Paul […]

South Shields by-election: Labour hold solid, Ukip surge, Tories fall and Lib Dems… plummet to 7th. Ouch.

by Stephen Tall on May 3, 2013

The South Shields by-election — triggered by David Miliband’s exit from British political life — has resulted in a solid hold for Labour, which polled just over half the vote, only fractionally down on its 2010 position. But it’s Ukip which has most to celebrate: in a seat they haven’t contested since 2001, they stormed [...]

Eastleigh by-election: my first thoughts

by Stephen Tall on March 1, 2013

Let’s consider the backdrop: we’re polling at half the level we were in 2010; the previous MP, Chris Huhne, was forced to resign after pleading guilty to perverting the course of justice and faces a prison sentence; we’ve just endured a week of torrid publicity. And yet we’ve held on. It’s true that, in some [...]

Eastleigh by-election: your essential round-up of the latest campaign news (28 Feb Polling Day Edition!)

by Stephen Tall on February 28, 2013

Welcome to the final round-up of the Eastleigh by-election campaign… It was the week when Mike Thornton’s campaign received a boost from former Lib Dem leader Paddy Ashdown on Tuesday: Out on the doorstep in #Eastleigh with @mike4eastleigh – there’s nothing like a great by-election campaign! twitter.com/paddyashdown/s… — Paddy Ashdown (@paddyashdown) February 26, 2013 Then [...]

Eastleigh by-election: your essential round-up of the latest campaign news (26 Feb)

by Stephen Tall on February 26, 2013

I reported earlier this morning the latest poll from Eastleigh — showing a narrow Lib Dem lead over the Tories — but one finding in it is particularly relevant to this round-up. The question was asked: “We’re interested in the extent to which people locally have heard from the political parties over the last few [...]

Final Eastleigh poll puts Lib Dems narrowly ahead of Tories – but all within margin of error!

by Stephen Tall on February 26, 2013

What will (I assume) be the final poll of the Eastleigh by-election was published this morning. Conducted by Populus and commissioned by Lord Ashcroft, it shows the Lib Dems sustaining a narrow lead — significant in itself, but the more so as Eastleigh voters were interviewed over the weekend during which the controversy over allegations [...]

++ Another new Eastleigh poll – and this time it shows the Tories in front by 4%

by Stephen Tall on February 23, 2013

Last night brought news of a Populus poll for The Times showing the Lib Dems ahead of the Tories by 33%-28%, a Lib Dem lead of 5%. But tonight a Survation poll for the Mail on Sunday has shown the Tories ahead of the Lib Dems by 33%-29%, a Tory lead of 4%. Survation conducted [...]

Eastleigh by-election: your essential round-up of the week’s campaign news

by Stephen Tall on February 23, 2013

Lib Dem chief executive Tim Gordon summed up the week so far in his weekly email to activists: Liberal Democrats have broken their own party’s by-election campaign records with more volunteers, more money raised and more campaign literature delivered in the opening days of the Eastleigh by-election campaign than any other. And today’s been no [...]



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