Posts Tagged “mike smithson”

Four-in-10 voters would never consider voting for the Lib Dems – but it’s not all bad news…

by Stephen Tall on February 27, 2014

Some interesting poll data from Ipsos-Mori who were asked by British Future to look at attitudes towards voting for the four main political parties. Here’s three points that stood out for the Lib Dems: Four-in-10 voters would never consider voting for the Lib Dems, Conservatives or Ukip. Labour is less unpopular: one-in-three voters would never […]

So you think Ukip are the new third party? Let’s have a look at the data…

by Stephen Tall on January 1, 2013

Food for thought for John Rentoul (who calls Ukip ‘The new third party’ here), courtesy of PoliticalBetting’s Mike Smithson: Aggregate vote shares from all 198 local by-elections in 2012 show: CON 33.74: LAB 29.22: LD 19.15: UKIP 6.13… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) January 1, 2013 (Hat-tip: Vote Clegg, Get Clegg Facebook page.) * Stephen [...]

The Lib Dem vote share: not always the best guide to how successful the Lib Dems have been…

by Stephen Tall on December 4, 2012

An important point, with graph to match, from PoliticalBetting’s Mike Smithson: Chart showing how the total of Lib Dem seats has been or not linked to vote share from 1987 – 2010.… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) December 4, 2012 To illustrate the point further: 1992 general election: Lib Dems won 5,999,384 votes, a vote-share [...]

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