Posts Tagged “lord ashcroft”

The poll findings which should encourage (some) Lib Dems and worry Labour

by Stephen Tall on October 5, 2013

I highlighted during Lib Dem conference season an interesting finding from Lord Ashcroft’s latest polling of marginal seats: Lord Ashcroft – the former deputy Tory chairman and the man who spends more on polling than all the political parties combined – released his latest findings this week. 13,000 voters in the 40 Conservative seats with […]

Bob Worcester forecasts Lib Dems to be reduced to 24 seats in 2015. I’ll run naked down Whitehall if that’s the result.

by Stephen Tall on September 17, 2013

At a conference fringe meeting on Monday evening, the pollster’s pollster Bob Worcester, MORI’s founder, made a forecast of how many seats the Lib Dems will win at the 2015 election: 24. His prediction was based on current polling which he’d fed into the Electoral Calculus website and implied the number should be 17. His […]

Ashcroft’s latest poll: a couple of interesting findings about the Lib Dems

by Stephen Tall on June 8, 2013

Conservative peer Lord Ashcroft — who spends more on polling than all three main political parties combined — published the latest of his surveys yesterday. It contained little good news for his party: ‘Perceptions of the Conservatives have been eroded further … This is the price we have paid for spending half a year talking [...]

Where Ukip won (or almost won) on 2nd May 2013

by Stephen Tall on May 14, 2013

Wondering where Ukip won (or almost won – see below) in the local elections on Thursday, 2nd May? Then here’s a handy graphic and breakdown by constituency… My thanks to Lib Dem Ben Mathis (@binny_uk) for crunching the Ukip numbers, as below. We’ll update the list with any more found… LINCOLNSHIRE Boston & Skegness Con [...]

Final Eastleigh poll puts Lib Dems narrowly ahead of Tories – but all within margin of error!

by Stephen Tall on February 26, 2013

What will (I assume) be the final poll of the Eastleigh by-election was published this morning. Conducted by Populus and commissioned by Lord Ashcroft, it shows the Lib Dems sustaining a narrow lead — significant in itself, but the more so as Eastleigh voters were interviewed over the weekend during which the controversy over allegations [...]

++ New Eastleigh poll: Lib Dems have 5% lead over Tories, Labour trail in 4th place behind Ukip

by Stephen Tall on February 22, 2013

UK Polling Report has the figures from the latest (and last?) opinion poll to be conducted in Eastleigh ahead of polling day this Thursday — it shows the Lib Dems leading the Tories by 5%. The poll was conducted for The Times by Populus, the firm which undertook a previous survey for Lord Ashcroft (changes [...]

5 reasons for Lib Dems to campaign in Eastleigh (just in case you needed any more)

by Stephen Tall on February 8, 2013

Mark Pack has posted last night’s poll findings from Eastleigh, showing the Tories narrowly ahead with both Labour and Ukip out of serious contention. In case you needed some reasons to help the Lib Dem campaign in the next three weeks in whatever way you’re able here are 5 from me… The Lib Dems can [...]

5 initial thoughts on David Cameron’s Europe speech

by Stephen Tall on January 23, 2013

David Cameron delivered his long, long-awaited speech on Europe this morning (text here). Caron’s rounding up the reactions from Lib Dems here – but here are my five initial thoughts… This is the speech Cameron didn’t want ever to have to give. Let’s be clear, David Cameron is making this speech now to try and [...]

Did you know the Lib Dems have lost half a million voters to Ukip? Here’s what I think it means.

by Stephen Tall on December 18, 2012

Conservative peer Lord Ashcroft — who, as ConservativeHome’s Tim Montgomerie has noted before, spends more on polling than all three parties combined — has today published the latest survey looking at the timely issue of the threat of Ukip. Nigel Farage’s party is now regularly polling around the level of the Lib Dems, seemingly taking [...]

Your essential weekend reader — 12 must-read articles you may have missed

by Stephen Tall on November 3, 2012

It’s Saturday morning, so here are eight thought-provoking articles to stimulate your thinking juices… Where now for the immigration debate? – Sarah Mulley in the New Statesman with an excellent analysis: ‘the public don’t (on the whole) feel that immigration is a problem in their own local communities, although a large majority do feel that [...]



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