Posts Tagged “general election 2015”

Alex Salmond to make Westminster comeback – threat to Lib Dem seat of Gordon?

by Stephen Tall on October 24, 2014

Former Scottish First Minister Alex Salmond has hinted he might make a comeback at Westminster, as the BBC reports: Alex Salmond has said he has not made up his mind whether or not to stand for a Westminster seat at the next general election. The outgoing Scottish first minister was asked on the BBC’s Question […]

Danny Alexander, not Vince Cable, designated Lib Dem shadow chancellor (oh, and no Lib Dem reshuffle)

by Stephen Tall on October 18, 2014

The Guardian’s Nick Watt reports today the long-trailed announcement that Danny Alexander, Lib Dem chief secretary to the treasury, will take on the role of the party’s shadow chancellor at the 2015 election: Nick Clegg has decided that Alexander, his closest ally in the cabinet, will be the Lib Dem Treasury spokesman during the campaign […]

Mori’s Sir Bob Worcester increases his forecast for Lib Dem seats in May 2015

by Stephen Tall on October 16, 2014

Yes, you read that headline right: founder of MORI, Sir Bob Worcester, increased his forecast of how many seats the Lib Dems would win in May 2015 when asked for a prediction at last week’s Lib Dem conference. I’ll be honest, though: I don’t think he meant to. Last year, you may recall he predicted […]

General election 2015: broadcasters propose 2-3-4 leaders’ debates formula

by Stephen Tall on October 13, 2014

The BBC, ITV, Sky and Channel 4 have announced their preferred plans to hold three debates during the 2015 general election campaign. The BBC reports: One would involve a head-to-head debate between just the Conservative and Labour leaders, and another would include the Liberal Democrat leader. The other debate would involve all three leaders plus […]

It’s 8 May 2015. Nick Clegg’s resigned. Who speaks for the Lib Dems?

by Stephen Tall on September 9, 2014

Imagine the following scenario… At the next general election, 7th May 2015, there is a hung parliament in which the Lib Dems hold the balance of power. However, the party doesn’t do very well. Nick Clegg resigns as party leader, or at (…)

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Lib Dem pre-manifesto launched: includes policies to reform drugs laws and bus pass discount for under-21s

by Stephen Tall on September 8, 2014

Last week’s pre-manifesto launch by the Lib Dems was postponed owing to the international situation. Thankfully no important news has broken over the past couple of days which might over-shadow today’s launch. Unless, that is, you think the potential break-up of the UK or a new Royal Baby are headline-grabbing events. You can read the […]

Clacton and the Lib Dems’ post-2015 wastelands problem

by Stephen Tall on September 4, 2014

The Clacton by-election triggered by Douglas Carswell’s defection from the Tories to Ukip will take place on 9th October – David Cameron’s birthday, but also the day after the Lib Dems’ autumn conference concludes. That’s not great news for the Lib Dems on two counts. First, it means the media will likely be obsessing more […]

Postponed: Lib Dem pre-manifesto launch delayed owing to international situation

by Stephen Tall on September 3, 2014

The news of a further murder of a US hostage by ‘Islamic State’ broke last night. The Lib Dems have, therefore, decided to postpone today’s scheduled launch of the party’s pre-manifesto. The pre-manifesto is the document agreed by the Lib Dems’ elected federal policy committee (FPC) to be submitted to this autumn’s conference for approval. […]

In the next month 39 seats will short-list their wannabe Lib Dem MPs

by Stephen Tall on August 16, 2014

Here’s the full list of selection contests in the coming month available for Lib Dems on the approved parliamentary candidates’ list, together with the closing date for applications. They include Watford, on paper the 6th most winnable Tory seat for the Lib Dems, needing a swing of just 1.39%, as well as Redcar, where incumbent […]

Incumbency and the sophomore surge: why these two effects will matter for the Lib Dems in 2015

by Stephen Tall on August 4, 2014

With the Lib Dem vote at least halved in the polls since the last general election, there’s been much focus within the party on what’s known as the ‘incumbency effect’ – the personal vote that benefits Lib Dem MPs. This typically boosts Lib Dems by 8%, compared to 1-2% for Tories and 1.5-2.5% for Labour […]



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