Posts Tagged “general election 2015”

So how’s my scenario 3 – a Tory lead of 6% by May 2015 – working out then?

by Stephen Tall on April 2, 2014

Time to dust down a post from last December looking at scenarios for the 2015 election based on current polling – two of which pointed to the Conservatives being likely to take a poll lead in the next year. (NB: as then, please note my huge caveat – “the extent of the polling science on […]

Without a shadow of a doubt: Vince Cable should be the Lib Dems’ Shadow Chancellor at the 2015 election

by Stephen Tall on March 22, 2014

One of the quirks of being in coalition is the Lib Dems no longer have a shadow chancellor. But we shall need one in time for the 2015 general election – not least for the traditional televised ‘Ask the Chancellors’ debate. There have been newspaper reports that there’s some jockeying for this position, with the […]

Ming Campbell’s successor selected: Tim Brett to fight North East Fife for Lib Dems in 2015

by Stephen Tall on March 18, 2014

Former Lib Dem leader Ming Campbell announced last October he’d retire as MP for North East Fife at the next general election, after eight elections (five of them successful) and 28 years. His successor has now been announced: Tim Brett, leader of Fife Council Liberal Democrats and former chief executive of Ninewells Hospital, will contest […]

Cameron to “rule out second Lib-Con coalition” claims Telegraph. It may be a bluff but that doesn’t mean he won’t be forced to do it.

by Stephen Tall on February 25, 2014

Today’s Telegraph splashes on the claim that David Cameron is preparing to rule out the possibility of a second Coalition with the Lib Dems if the Tories are the largest single party but lack a majority: The Prime Minister wants to make a commitment in the Conservative Party election manifesto not to sign a second […]

UPDATED: Full list of Lib Dems standing in our held seats and top 50 targets

by Stephen Tall on February 9, 2014

We’re 15 months from the May 2015 election so here’s my latest running check on how candidate selection is going in our held and key target seats… I published a first draft of this list at the start of October, and asked readers to help me update it. Many thanks to those of you who […]

In the next month 10 seats will short-list their wannabe Lib Dem MPs (and one MSP)

by Stephen Tall on December 14, 2013

Here’s the full list of selection contests in the coming month available for Lib Dems on the approved parliamentary candidates’ list, together with the closing date for applications. They include Ming Campbell’s North East Fife seat. The following seats have selections in progress and are currently advertising for candidates: Newark (17th December) South West Devon […]

UPDATED: Full list of Lib Dems standing in our held seats and top 50 targets

by Stephen Tall on December 14, 2013

We’re 18 months from the May 2015 election so I thought it’d be useful to keep a running check on how candidate selection is going in our held and key target seats… I published a first draft of this list at the start of October, and asked readers to help me update it – many […]

UPDATED: Full list of Lib Dems standing in our held seats and top 50 targets

by Stephen Tall on December 14, 2013

We’re 18 months from the May 2015 election so I thought it’d be useful to keep a running check on how candidate selection is going in our held and key target seats… I published a first draft of this list at the start of October, and asked readers to help me update it – many […]

Is Nick Harvey right that “Labour is on course to win the next election”?

by Stephen Tall on November 23, 2013

Sir Nick Harvey, Lib Dem MP for North Devon (and former defence minister), has little doubt who’s going to win the next election, as he tells the Huffington Post: … Harvey has a “clear sense” of what he thinks is going to happen. And even more than that, he is “astonished” that few others within […]

Nightmare scenarios: what are the 2015 election results the Lib Dems, Tories and Labour most dread?

by Stephen Tall on November 15, 2013

Here’s a cheerful topic for a Friday: what are the worst results you could imagine for each of the three main parties at the next general election? Well, for the Lib Dems it’s obvious – we get mullered, reduced to 24 seats or fewer as predicted by Mori founder Bob Worcester. I don’t think things […]



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