Who are the three groups of voters more likely to vote Lib Dem in 2015? I was surprised…

by Stephen Tall on January 28, 2015

state of nationAn interesting snippet from British Future’s excellent State of the Nation 2015 report:

In the State of the Nation poll, first time voters (14%), ethnic minority respondents (15%) and those born abroad (12%) were more likely to say they plan to vote Lib Dem in 2015.

Why interesting? Well, most people would probably assume — I did — that the Lib Dems’ U-turn on tuition fees and the party’s inability to get BAME candidates elected as MPs would particularly hamper us with these groups. (I guess it’s less surprising that we poll relatively well with those born abroad given the Lib Dems’ pro-Europe and pro-immigration positions.)

Incidentally, the report’s section on the Lib Dems concludes with a serious challenge to the party — especially if we’re in a position to return to government in the next parliament:

… younger Britons are still more likely to consider voting yellow than their parents or grandparents. In 2015, however, the Green Party may well seem a more straightforward expressive vote. The more challenging task for the Liberal Democrats is to make the case that a party prepared to make compromises in power can be an effective champion of liberal values.




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Do you mean capping the unlimited increases the Tories wanted to put on Labour's tuition fees, extending loans to part timers, and revising the repayments so students could cope with the unwelcome increases we could not stop all together?
More like putting up a good fight in a tug of war when grossly outnumbered than doing a U turn to me.

by Steve Bolter on January 30, 2015 at 12:53 am. Reply #

[…] 1. Who are the three groups of voters likely to vote Lib Dem in 2015..I was surprised by Stephen Tall on Stephen Tall . Some are more difficult to get out to vote, though. We’ll have to think about that. […]

by Top of the Blogs: The Lib Dem Golden Dozen #409 on February 1, 2015 at 7:00 pm. Reply #

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