40% of the British public wants the Lib Dems to poll higher than now at the general election, YouGov finds

by Stephen Tall on November 27, 2014

Here’s an interesting survey finding via YouGov. The pollster asked the following (slightly awkwardly worded) question:

The Lib Dems are currently between 6% to 11% in the opinion polls. At the next general election, might the Lib Dems get closer to their previous several elections? Their average for the past five elections is around 19%. AND, do you personally wnat them to do better than where they are now, or not?

You can see the full spread of results below. But bundled up here are the two key findings…

First, 78% of the public thinks the Lib Dems will poll around either 5% or 10% next May. Just 13% think the party will reach 15% or 20% at the general election. (I’m curious how that squares with ICM’s ‘Wisdom of Crowds’ polling – which asks voters what they think the result of the next General Election will be rather than how they intend to vote in it – which in November shows the Lib Dems on 13%.)

That’s not great. The second finding offers more optimism, though. YouGov finds that 40% of the public wants the Lib Dems to do better at the general election than the party is polling now (that compares with 51% who take the opposite view). There is, of course, an easy way that 40% can make their wishes come true.

yougov lib dem poll ratings

* Stephen Tall is Co-Editor of Liberal Democrat Voice, and editor of the 2013 publication, The Coalition and Beyond: Liberal Reforms for the Decade Ahead. He is also a Research Associate for the liberal think-tank CentreForum and writes at his own site, The Collected Stephen Tall.