Six months from 7th May 2015: how the polls are looking and what to look for

by Stephen Tall on November 7, 2014

There are three key things about opinion polls. The first is what matters are trends, not individual poll fluctuations. The second is they’re snapshots, not forecasts. (A point made by Lord Ashcroft, to his credit, every time he publishes his latest poll finding.) The third is the next general election won’t be decided by national party vote shares but by […]

The 3 Lib Dem party president candidates on what they’d do in my “It’s 8th May 2015? scenario

by Stephen Tall on November 7, 2014

A couple of weeks ago I asked all three candidates for the Lib Dem party presidency a deliberately provocative question: It’s 8th May, 2015. The Lib Dems have lost some MPs but are still a force to be reckoned with in the House of Commons. Nick Clegg announces he will step aside to let a […]

My must-reads this week November 7, 2014

by Stephen Tall on November 7, 2014

Here’s some of the articles that have caught my attention this week… New Statesman | What's behind the surprising success of raising tuition fees? /@timwig asks “What’s behind surprising success of raising tuition fees?” New Statesman readers ain’t gonna like (…)

Read the rest of this entry »