About that Ukip earthquake… Farage party’s national vote-share DOWN on 2013

by Stephen Tall on May 23, 2014

The BBC has published its estimate of the national vote-shares for this year’s local elections. They show Labour out in front, on 31%, the Tories just behind on 29% – with Ukip in third place on 17% and the Lib Dems in fourth on 13%. Compared to the 2013 results*, this means Ukip is the only one of the four main parties to have lost votes in the last year.

Here’s the graph showing results over the last four years, 2010-14:

* Can I anticipate the inevitable queries… The national vote-shares take into account the fact that a different range of wards are up for election. So the fact that this year’s elections took place in the urban Metropolitan districts and last year’s in the more rural counties is already accounted for. For more on how they’re calculated, see Stephen Fisher’s post at the LSE’s British Politics and Policy blog (hat-tip Mark Pack).

* Stephen Tall is Co-Editor of Liberal Democrat Voice, and editor of the 2013 publication, The Coalition and Beyond: Liberal Reforms for the Decade Ahead. He is also a Research Associate for the liberal think-tank CentreForum and writes at his own site, The Collected Stephen Tall.