YouGov: Nick edges Vince on economic trust

by Stephen Tall on October 24, 2013

Which politician (or combination of politicians) would the public most trust to run the British economy? That’s the question YouGov asked, and here are results courtesy the PLMR blog:

economic trust

Overall David Cameron has the single best economic trust figure (35%) followed by Ed Miliband (30%). As you might expect this breaks broadly on party lines: 91% of Tory voters trust their party’s leader; 76% of Labour’s trust theirs. The current Coalition partnership – Cameron and Clegg – are trusted by 29%, with Tories less enthusiastic and Labour supporters overwhelmingly hostile.

Intriguingly from a Lib Dem perspective, Vince Cable fares less well than Nick – 23% of voters would trust Vince and David Cameron on the economy. This lower figure is partly driven by Tories being more lukewarm, but also by current Lib Dem voters preferring Nick (55%) to Vince (47%). Even 2010 Lib Dem voters give Nick (29%) the edge over Vince (22%). Labour voters are pretty much equally antipathetic to both Nick and Vince: 87% don’t trust Nick and Dave; 86% wouldn’t trust Vince and Dave.

What about if Ed Miliband were the Prime Minister in a Lib-Lab coalition? Then the preferences flip: the combination of Vince and Ed (23%) is trusted more than Nick and Ed (19%). This is true of both 2010 Lib Dem voters (who prefer Vince/Ed over Nick/Ed by 32% to 26%) and of current Labour voters (by a more significant 52% to 37%).

In short… Nick polls better than Vince on economic trust in the current Coalition. But, while Nick is seen as the better economic partner for David Cameron, Vince edges it if the Lib Dems are in a position to partner with Ed Miliband.

A couple of necessary caveats to all this. First, and most importantly, Nick Clegg is a known quantity (for better or worse) among most voters; Vince Cable less so. So how Vince Cable would fare in the spotlight of the leadership is inevitably an unknown quantity for many: that applies even more so when you add in the variable of a hypothetical Prime Minister Miliband. Secondly, the sample sizes for current Lib Dem voters is small so the margin of error will be higher than the usual +/-3%.

* Stephen Tall is Co-Editor of Liberal Democrat Voice, and editor of the 2013 publication, The Coalition and Beyond: Liberal Reforms for the Decade Ahead. He is also a Research Associate for the liberal think-tank CentreForum and writes at his own site, The Collected Stephen Tall.

YouGov: Nick edges Vince on economic trust

by Stephen Tall on October 24, 2013

Which politician (or combination of politicians) would the public most trust to run the British economy? That’s the question YouGov asked, and here are results courtesy the PLMR blog:

economic trust

Overall David Cameron has the single best economic trust figure (35%) followed by Ed Miliband (30%). As you might expect this breaks broadly on party lines: 91% of Tory voters trust their party’s leader; 76% of Labour’s trust theirs. The current Coalition partnership – Cameron and Clegg – are trusted by 29%, with Tories less enthusiastic and Labour supporters overwhelmingly hostile.

Intriguingly from a Lib Dem perspective, Vince Cable fares less well than Nick – 23% of voters would trust Vince and David Cameron on the economy. This lower figure is partly driven by Tories being more lukewarm, but also by current Lib Dem voters preferring Nick (55%) to Vince (47%). Even 2010 Lib Dem voters give Nick (29%) the edge over Vince (22%). Labour voters are pretty much equally antipathetic to both Nick and Vince: 87% don’t trust Nick and Dave; 86% wouldn’t trust Vince and Dave.

What about if Ed Miliband were the Prime Minister in a Lib-Lab coalition? Then the preferences flip: the combination of Vince and Ed (23%) is trusted more than Nick and Ed (19%). This is true of both 2010 Lib Dem voters (who prefer Vince/Ed over Nick/Ed by 32% to 26%) and of current Labour voters (by a more significant 52% to 37%).

In short… Nick polls better than Vince on economic trust in the current Coalition. But, while Nick is seen as the better economic partner for David Cameron, Vince edges it if the Lib Dems are in a position to partner with Ed Miliband.

A couple of necessary caveats to all this. First, and most importantly, Nick Clegg is a known quantity (for better or worse) among most voters; Vince Cable less so. So how Vince Cable would fare in the spotlight of the leadership is inevitably an unknown quantity for many: that applies even more so when you add in the variable of a hypothetical Prime Minister Miliband. Secondly, the sample sizes for current Lib Dem voters is small so the margin of error will be higher than the usual +/-3%.

* Stephen Tall is Co-Editor of Liberal Democrat Voice, and editor of the 2013 publication, The Coalition and Beyond: Liberal Reforms for the Decade Ahead. He is also a Research Associate for the liberal think-tank CentreForum and writes at his own site, The Collected Stephen Tall.