Lib Dem members’ support for Coalition still high… but the trend is down

by Stephen Tall on August 15, 2012

Lib Dem Voice polled our members-only forum recently to discover what Lib Dem members think of various political issues, the Coalition, and the performance of key party figures. Some 500 party members have responded, and we’re publishing the full results.

77% still support Coalition (that’s the first time it’s fallen below 80%)

LDV asked: Do you support or oppose the Lib Dems being in the Coalition Government with the Conservatives? (Comparison with June 2012′s figures)

    77% (-3%) – Support
    18% (+2%) – Oppose
    5% (+1%) – Don’t know / No opinion

Support for the Coalition remains high, at 78%, in spite of the latest major set-back, with the defeat by Tory MPs of the Coalition Agreement pledge on Lords reform. The net support rating, at +59%, is the lowest we’ve yet recorded: as recently as February it was +71%. So while overall support for the Coalition is still solid (amazingly so, in fact, considering all that’s happened), the trend over the past few months is markedly down. Here’s a graph showing how Lib Dem members have responded to this question over the first two years of the Coalition:

Approval of Coalition Government’s record dips to +32%

LDV asked: Do you approve or disapprove of the Coalition Government’s record to date? (comparison with June 2012′s figures)

    58% (-1%) – Approve
    35% (+4%) – Disapprove
    7% (-3%) – Don’t know / No opinion

The net approval for the Coalition’s record to date has taken a further hit, down to just +23% now: that’s the lowest figure we’ve yet recorded in these surveys. Again as recently as February, net approval stood at a far healthier +40%. Again the trend, perhaps unsurprisingly at the government’s mid-term mark, is downwards:

  • Over 1,200 Lib Dem paid-up party members are registered with LibDemVoice.org. Some 500 responded to the latest survey, which was conducted between 3rd and 6th August.
  • Please note: we make no claims that the survey is fully representative of the Lib Dem membership as a whole. However, LibDemVoice.org’s surveys are the largest independent samples of the views of Lib Dem members across the country, and have in the past accurately predicted the winners of the contest for Party President, and the result of the conference decision to approve the Coalition agreement.
  • The full archive of our members’ surveys can be viewed at www.libdemvoice.org/category/ldv-members-poll
  • * Stephen Tall is Co-Editor of Liberal Democrat Voice, a Research Associate for the liberal think-tank CentreForum, and also writes at his own site, The Collected Stephen Tall.