The LDV Election Morning Live-Blog & Open Thread … 8am Edition

by Stephen Tall on May 7, 2010

8.00 am

Here’s where we’re at:

The Lib Dems have made SEVEN GAINS: Bradford East, Burnley, Norwich South, Eastbourne, Redcar, Solihull and Wells.

And THIRTEEN LOSSES: Camborne and Redruth, Chesterfield, Cornwall South East, Harrogate & Knaresborough, Hereford & Herefordshire South, Montgomeryshire, Newton Abbot, Oxford West & Abingdon, Richmond Park, Romsey & Southampton North, Truro and Falmouth, Winchester and York Outer.

The Tories are projected to score 37% (+4%) of the vote and win 308 (+98) MPs; Labour to score 30% (-6%) of the vote and win 260 (-89) seats; and the Lib Dems to score 23% (n/c) and win 53 (-9) MPs.

8.08 am

Lib Dem HOLD Manchester Withington confirmed:
John Leech Liberal Democrat 20,110 44.6% (+2.4)
Labour 18,260 40.5% (-0.4)
Conservative 5,005 11.1% (+0.7)

8.14 am

Glenda Jackson fends off Lib Dem challenge in Hampstead & Kilburn.

8.21 am

Stephen Williams HOLDS Bristol West with fantastic 9% swing from Labour:
Stephen Williams Liberal Democrat 26,593 48.0% (+9.0)
Labour 15,227 27.5% (-9.0)
Conservative 10,169 18.4% (+2.0)

8.26 am

Here’s that Hampstead result – Lib Dems come third in oh-so-tight three-way marginal:

Labour 17,332 32.8% (-3.5)
Conservative 17,290 32.7% (+9.8)
Ed Fordham Liberal Democrat 16,491 31.2% (-4.0)

8.30 am

Bad luck to Jo Shaw whose challenge to Labour’s Frank Dobson proved unsuccessful:
Labour 25,198 46.1% (+1.0)
Jo Shaw Liberal Democrat 15,256 27.9% (+1.8)
Conservative 11,134 20.4% (-0.5)

8.51 am

Very disappointing result in Watford – Sal Brinton beat Labour, but the Tories beat us:
Richard Harrington Conservative 19,291 34.9% (+5.3)
Sal Brinton Liberal Democrat 17,866 32.4% (+1.1)
Claire Ward Labour 14,750 26.7% (-6.8)

9.11 am

Official: it is now a hung parliament – the Tories cannot win an outright majority.

9.21 am

Quick update of where we’re at …

  • The seat gains/losses remain Lib Dem SEVEN gains and THIRTEEN losses – details at the head of the page;
  • 6.4 million people voted Lib Dem, that’s 22.9% of the popular vote;
  • That means it took 125,000 Lib Dem voters to elect a single Lib Dem MP. It took just 33,000 Labour voters to elect a single Labour MP.
  • Turnout at 65% is 4% higher than in 2005, but nowhere near the predicted 70%+ turnout.