The LDV Election Morning Live-Blog & Open Thread … 8am Edition

by Stephen Tall on May 7, 2010

8.00 am

Here’s where we’re at:

The Lib Dems have made SEVEN GAINS: Bradford East, Burnley, Norwich South, Eastbourne, Redcar, Solihull and Wells.

And THIRTEEN LOSSES: Camborne and Redruth, Chesterfield, Cornwall South East, Harrogate & Knaresborough, Hereford & Herefordshire South, Montgomeryshire, Newton Abbot, Oxford West & Abingdon, Richmond Park, Romsey & Southampton North, Truro and Falmouth, Winchester and York Outer.

The Tories are projected to score 37% (+4%) of the vote and win 308 (+98) MPs; Labour to score 30% (-6%) of the vote and win 260 (-89) seats; and the Lib Dems to score 23% (n/c) and win 53 (-9) MPs.

8.08 am

Lib Dem HOLD Manchester Withington confirmed:
John Leech Liberal Democrat 20,110 44.6% (+2.4)
Labour 18,260 40.5% (-0.4)
Conservative 5,005 11.1% (+0.7)

8.14 am

Glenda Jackson fends off Lib Dem challenge in Hampstead & Kilburn.

8.21 am

Stephen Williams HOLDS Bristol West with fantastic 9% swing from Labour:
Stephen Williams Liberal Democrat 26,593 48.0% (+9.0)
Labour 15,227 27.5% (-9.0)
Conservative 10,169 18.4% (+2.0)

8.26 am

Here’s that Hampstead result – Lib Dems come third in oh-so-tight three-way marginal:

Labour 17,332 32.8% (-3.5)
Conservative 17,290 32.7% (+9.8)
Ed Fordham Liberal Democrat 16,491 31.2% (-4.0)

8.30 am

Bad luck to Jo Shaw whose challenge to Labour’s Frank Dobson proved unsuccessful:
Labour 25,198 46.1% (+1.0)
Jo Shaw Liberal Democrat 15,256 27.9% (+1.8)
Conservative 11,134 20.4% (-0.5)

8.51 am

Very disappointing result in Watford – Sal Brinton beat Labour, but the Tories beat us:
Richard Harrington Conservative 19,291 34.9% (+5.3)
Sal Brinton Liberal Democrat 17,866 32.4% (+1.1)
Claire Ward Labour 14,750 26.7% (-6.8)

9.11 am

Official: it is now a hung parliament – the Tories cannot win an outright majority.

9.21 am

Quick update of where we’re at …

  • The seat gains/losses remain Lib Dem SEVEN gains and THIRTEEN losses – details at the head of the page;
  • 6.4 million people voted Lib Dem, that’s 22.9% of the popular vote;
  • That means it took 125,000 Lib Dem voters to elect a single Lib Dem MP. It took just 33,000 Labour voters to elect a single Labour MP.
  • Turnout at 65% is 4% higher than in 2005, but nowhere near the predicted 70%+ turnout.
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3 comments

New post: The LDV Election Morning Live-Blog & Open Thread … 8am Edition http://bit.ly/a9X2Sb

by Stephen Tall on May 7, 2010 at 12:15 pm. Reply #

So what now? Nick and Dave talk…God help us…take all the time Gordon says you both need Nick. Lets hope Gordon set out some interesting points there more Nick to consider. Ball thrown back? So he’s forcing Nick’s hand to shake with (don’t do it Nick) Cameron or the lesser of two being Gordon on certain points to help the economy asap.

by MissCholet on May 7, 2010 at 12:52 pm. Reply #

David Cameron carpe diem, you bet he will. I don’t think he’d hesitate. Who thinks we’ll get a referendum soon?

by MissCholet on May 7, 2010 at 12:56 pm. Reply #

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