by Stephen Tall on May 2, 2010
Two polls published tonight:
YouGov in the Sun … CON 34%(-1) LAB 28% (+1) LIB DEM 29% (+1)
ICM in the Guardian … CON 33%(-3), LAB 28%(-1), LIB DEM 28%(+1)
So, after the excitement of today’s rightwing press salivating at the inevitable Tory election victory to come, we’re back to where we were at the end of last week … the Tories at c.33%, and Lib Dems and Labour tussling it out for second place on 28-29%, firmly back in hung parliament territory.
Of course, these results may be quirks, and none of us knows how far to trust polls published over the bank holiday weekend. Still, for those whose daily mood is determined by the polls, this is a fillip for the Lib Dems, and a dampener for the excitable Tory cheerleaders in the media.
Anthony Wells’ UK Polling Report blog ‘poll of polls’ reflects yesterday’s uptick in Tory fortunes:
CON 35%, LAB 27%, LIB DEM 28%
That’s less dramatic than we might have hoped for two weeks ago. It’s beyond the wildest imaginations any of us had three weeks ago. Just four days until we find out for real …