3 out of 5 polls point to narrow Clegg victory in televised debate

by Stephen Tall on April 22, 2010

The verdicts are coming in – you can read what I thought here – and two out of three of tonight’s instant polls show Nick Clegg edging tonight’s Sky News televised debate:

    Angus Reid … Clegg 33%, Cameron 32%, Brown 23%
    ComRes … Clegg 33%, Cameron 30%, Brown 30%
    YouGov … Clegg 32%, Cameron 36%, Brown 29%

What’s clear is that this debate was a much close contest than last week’s first debate, much more evenly matched between the three leaders. Clegg was at least as good, but – to give them their due – both Cameron and in particular Brown had improved.

What’s unclear is how it will affect the party ratings. My guess is that tonight will have confimed existing views rather than changed minds. And given viewing figures are likely to be far lower than last week’s debate – and given it’s the middle debate – I can’t see tonight being a game-changer for anyone.

Update: one further poll, Populus in The Times, shows Cameron edging Clegg 37% to 36%, with Brown trailing on 27%.

Update 2: and another one, this time ICM for the Guardian, putting Clegg on 33%, with Brown and David Cameron level on 29%.

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2 comments

It’s definitely a lot more amusing following the debate on twitter than watching it on telly – came across http://www.election10.net and was fascinated to see the political hacks being far more candid than they are in their articles. The politicians come across as grasping and fake, the polls as biased or bought and the general public as skeptical as ever. The spin afterwards is incredible and you even get photos from within the press room.

Fascinating stuff, the internet and reality tv have made elections so much more interesting. The only real winners are the lib dems of course as otherwise they wouldn’t have the tv coverage they get and Clegg seems to be seizing his opportunity. Will we have an Obama style surge is the big question??

by Joe Bloggs on April 22, 2010 at 10:01 pm. Reply #

Besides the leader personality battle there was some interesting stats on responses buried in the YouGov website:

What is more, far fewer people are deterred by the prospect of a Lib Dem government. We asked people whether they would be delighted or dismayed by different election outcomes – or whether they wouldn’t mind.

Here are the responses:
Delighted- Wouldn’t mind – Dismayed
Lib Dem govt under Nick Clegg 29% 38% 21%
Con govt under David Cameron 25% 20% 45%
Lab govt under Gordon Brown 18% 23% 51%
Labour-Lib Dem coalition 14% 35% 39%
Con-Lib Dem coalition 9% 33% 45%
Grand 3-party coalition 9% 24% 47%

Not only is a Lib Dem government the most popular option; it is the one that frightens voters far less than any other option. If the Lib Dem bandwagon is to be halted and sent into reverse, Labour and the Tories must do far more to persuade voters that a vote for the Lib Dems would be seriously bad for Britain.

by Ray Buckler on April 22, 2010 at 11:34 pm. Reply #

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