How well is Cameron dealing with MPs' expenses?

by Stephen Tall on May 29, 2009

Until the last couple of days, received wisdom – both among the mainstream media and the blogosphere – is that David Cameron has had a ‘good crisis’, dealing firmly with those Tory MPs who’ve committed egregious expenses abuses (from moats to trees to duck islands) and being ahead of the curve on democratic reforms.

So I was intrigued to read this analysis by the London Evening Standard’s Paul Waugh today, which notes how this received wisdom is now beginning to be questioned, not least by Tory MPs themselves:

… as the days have gone on, it seems that Cameron has also made some tactical decisions that his MPs are now bitterly regretting. The most pressing is his decision to effectively demand that his MPs subject themselves to the public stocks whenever there was an accusation that they had misclaimed public funds.

The formula seemed tough and simple – appear before your voters at a public meeting and explain yourself. … The problem with the public stocks approach is, as Team Cameron rapidly realised with the [Julie] Kirkbride case, that it can be fraught with difficulty. What if there is a hardcore of opponents just out to get the MP? Is your public meeting open to all comers or registered voters? …

Tory MPs are now grumbling privately that Cameron has “released the mob” by suggesting they all appear before public meetings. They want to know when or if the genie can be put back in the bottle. Having been impressed by their leader, some now fear that he has made a huge tactical blunder in a bid to meet the demands of a voracious media. But if Cameron were suddenly to announce he no longer expects his MPs to face public meetings, he risks being accused of wobbling.

Labour has not been slow to spot the potential weakness on the leadership issue. Ed Balls pointed out today that not a single Tory MP has had the whip withdrawn to date, whereas Labour have suspended three MPs. Cameron says that it was the very threat to withdraw the whip that resulted in Steen, Hogg and Viggers all agreeing to quit at the next election.

Cameron claimed today that he had been tough when he needed to but also fair and “consistent”. Yet with every case appearing to have its own quirks, backbenchers believe it is impossible to be “consistent” without appearing to adopt a blanket approach. …

His allies will say that Cameron can’t win in the eyes of his critics. But others are wondering whether the MPs expenses affair – and his invitation to the “mob” – has exposed his Blairesque fondness for an “eye-catching initiative”.

The whole article is well worth a read HERE. It’s a fair analysis, I feel, which duly reflects the ‘no win’ situation the three major party leaders will feel themselves in at the moment. I draw attention to it not especially to take cheap partisan pot-shots at Mr Cameron – fun though that sometimes is – but to redress some of the balance of the debate about which leader has performed best in this crisis.

Yes, David Cameron has won some decent headlines – but is there much evidence that he’s persuaded the public of his reformist credentials? PoliticsHome’s survey of public opinion suggests voters are considerably more sceptical than some of the mainstream media, while recent opinion polls have suggested a sharp dip in Tory support. Caught as we (still) are in the maelstrom of local and Euro election campaigns and the MPs’ expenses row it is of course impossible yet to tell how, or even if, the plates have shifted, and who might prove the ultimate beneficiaries.

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anne widdecombe for speaker

by waters on May 29, 2009 at 7:25 pm. Reply #

While we are talking about Politics Home panel poll, it is worth noting their “Leaders Tracker”. Clegg has been moving up on Camweron through this expenses scandal and before. He now stands equal with Cameron.(G. Brown’s figures are soewhere in the sub-basement.)

by David Heigham on May 29, 2009 at 7:36 pm. Reply #

Very well if the Times poll of this evening is to believed. The Tories are on 41% (up 2). Labour down 5, LD’s down 7 (15%).

by Cogload on May 29, 2009 at 7:46 pm. Reply #

I tend to think the Populous poll is quite telling; why? Because the Tories have had 37% of the scandal so by rights should be continuing to dip under the 40% mark but the reason they aren’t is because of Cameron’s high personal ratings.

The Politics Home findings are neither here nor there simply because the level of public cynicism about all politicians would tend to tell in those findings I would say. Tory MP’s complaining is to be expected because they are on the receiving end.

Bearing in mind Cameron has been rushing around like a crazed fireman desperately trying to smother every potential scandal in sight I think he and the Tories will come out of this ok.

by Darrell on May 29, 2009 at 7:51 pm. Reply #

Actually the European voting intentions from Populus are pretty remarkable, with UKIP second and the Lib Dems only narrowly ahead of the Greens in the contest for fourth place:
CON 30%
UKIP 19%
LAB 16%
LDEM 12%
Green 10%
BNP 5%

by Anonymous1 on May 29, 2009 at 8:01 pm. Reply #

The reality is many people just want to see the back of Brown. They don’t care how awful Cameron is, anymore than they care about the BNP being racist. The Lib Dems aren’t seen as relevant.

The awful irony of the poll is that the Lib Dems are seen having coming out best in the expenses scandal but have recorded the biggest drop in support.

Cameron realised most voters are entirely superficial in their knowledge and interest in politics. Now wonder he comes out best – he is one of them – to coin a phrase.

by Mouse on May 29, 2009 at 9:42 pm. Reply #

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