LDVUSA: Presidential Prediction competition results (OFFICIAL)

by Stephen Tall on November 20, 2008

A fortnight ago, Lib Dem Voice published the unconfirmed results of our competition to predict the electoral college outcome of the race to be the next President of the USA.

At the time of writing, we assumed Missouri’s 11 votes would end up in Senator McCain’s Republican column; and that’s now been confirmed. (Bang goes the Big Mo’s ‘bellweather’ status for predicting Presidential winners). However, in the interim, President-elect Obama picked up one of Nebraska’s electoral votes.

All of which to-ing and fro-ing gives a final electoral college tot-up of Obama 365, McCain 173.

But none of which changes the rankings as originally published, and so we tip our hats, and award our penultimate LDV mug, to Joe Taylor, Lib Dem blogger, councillor and all-round psephological swot.

Full results, with updated scores, as below.

1. Joe Taylor (2 off)
Obama 364 McCain 174
51.8%, 46.8%

2. Hywel Morgan (10 off)
Obama 360, McCain 178
52%, 46%

3. RandomBlogger (20 off)
Obama 375, McCain 163
52.5%, 46.0%

4. Darrell (20 off)
Obama 375, McCain 163
53%, 46%

5. Geoffrey Payne (24 off)
Obama 353, McCain 185
53%, 46%

6. Liberal Neil (24 off)
Obama 353, McCain 185
52%, 45%

7. Stephen Tall (26 off)
Obama 378, McCain160
53%, 46%

8. Mark Littlewood (26 off)
Obama 378 McCain 160
55%, 42%

9. Ian Eiloart (50 off)
Obama 340, McCain 198
52%, 46%

10. Huw Dawson (54 off)
Obama 338, McCain 200
50%, 49%

11. Peter 1919 (54 off)
Obama 338 McCain 200
51.5%, 46.4%

12. Laurence Boyce (54 off)
Obama 338, McCain 200
53%, 40%

13. LonelyWanderer (56 off)
Obama 337, McCain 201
50%, 49%

14. Andy Hinton (108 off)
Obama 311, McCain 227
53%, 45%

15. Bernard Salmon (110 off)
Obama 310 McCain 228
52%, 46%

16. Irfan Ahmed (130 off)
Obama 300 McCain 238
60%, 37%

17. tony hill (186 off)
McCain 272 Obama 266
50%, 49%

18. TAG (194)
Obama, 268, McCain 270
52%, 48%

19. Niall Sullivan (202 off)
Obama 264, McCain 274
50%, 48%