Is the SNP a shoo-in for Glenrothes? (Or is Labour lowering expectations?)

by Stephen Tall on November 6, 2008

The Daily Mail’s Ben Brogan at least is convinced that Labour are down-and-out in today’s Scottish by-election:

Labour word is that Glenrothes is a lost cause. The SNP will take it by 1500, give or take 500. I don’t detect a Brown Central attempt to prepare a “shock” win. Instead they say that had they had a few days more it might have made a difference, and that without Gordon and Sarah Brown’s personal intervention the result would be far worse. So the good news is that defeat will be masked by the Obama euphoria.

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I think Labour are diliberately downplaying expectations to be honest; they secretly hope they can win but want to minimise the damage if they dont…

by Darrell on November 6, 2008 at 9:51 am. Reply #

Welcome to the new election tactic. Obviously saying “X is set for a stunning defeat” is the way to go

by Hywel Morgan on November 7, 2008 at 12:48 am. Reply #

Hywel – The Lib Dems are clearly going to be crushed next time 😉

by Dan on November 7, 2008 at 12:51 am. Reply #

It has some value…reverse psychology and all….

by Darrell on November 7, 2008 at 12:51 am. Reply #

Gordon’s Alive?

by Clegg's Candid Friend on November 7, 2008 at 12:57 am. Reply #

Is it a Fife thing – that they like producing results that completely confuse the political pundits 🙂

by Hywel Morgan on November 7, 2008 at 1:21 am. Reply #

Oh Dear. There was never anything we could have done about third party squeeze but just like Glasgow East our vote sems to have been crushed.

by Clegg's Ardent Admirer on November 7, 2008 at 3:10 am. Reply #

Dismayed that Labour can win so easily. But I’m a unionist & dislike the SNP, so I don’t really know what to make of this, apart from the fact that it’s a bit shyte to see the LD vote so low again.

by asquith on November 7, 2008 at 5:50 am. Reply #

L ROY [Lab] 19,946 (55.1 +3.2)
P GRANT [SNP] 13,209 (36.5 +13.1)
M GOLDEN [Con] 1,381 (3.8 -3.3)
H WILLS [LibDem] 947 (2.6 -10.1)
J PARKER [SSCU] 296 (0.8 -)
M BALFOUR [SSP] 212 (0.6 -1.3)
K SEUNARINE [UKIP] 117 (0.3 -0.9)
L MCLEARY [Sol.] 87 (0.2 -)

Swing -3.7 Labour to SNP

by Liam Pennington on November 7, 2008 at 6:33 am. Reply #

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