Opinion: The importance of a good Number 2

by Stephen Tall on August 30, 2008

What makes a good deputy? The question is of acute relevance today owing to Senator John McCain’s decision to pick Governor Sarah Palin as his vice-presidential nominee. Her positives have already been well-rehearsed: a young, instinctive, deeply conservative female, with a son about to serve in Iraq. Her negatives have also been loudly broadcast: she has just 18 months experience as the governor of one of the USA’s smaller states, yet could be the 45th president of a superpower within a matter of months should anything happen to her 72 year-old running mate.

Senator McCain’s reason for choosing her is clear: Governor Palin represents his best chance of swinging the momentum of the presidential campaign to the Republican side. Would any of us be discussing his choice now had he picked Mitt Romney, Tim Pawlenty or even Joe Lieberman? No, we would still be assessing the impact of Senator Obama’s remarkable convention speech, and speculating just how far short would Senator McCain fall when he attempts to match his rival next week. To that extent, her selection is an inspired piece of strategy, which severely wrong-foots the Democrats (as evidenced by their gauche and ungracious response).

But Senator McCain’s choice is disturbing, as this brilliant posting by Andrew Sullivan makes clear:

Think about how the key factor in this decision was not who could defend this country were something dreadful happen to McCain in office but how to tread as much on Obama’s convention bounce and use women’s equality as a wedge issue among Democrats because it might secure a few points here or there. Oh, and everyone would be surprised. And even Rove would be annoyed. This is his sense of honor and judgment. This is his sense of responsibility and service. Here’s the real slogan the McCain campaign should now adopt:

Putting. Country. Last.

For in choosing Governor Palin, Senator McCain has acted in his own short-term interests. He didn’t chose her because she was the best person for the job, but because she was the person most likely to land him the job he wants. What is being lauded today by many as smart tactics will appear shabby opportunism if her boss were incapacitated in the middle of an international crisis.

The Obama camp will have seriously considered the strong likelihood that Senator McCain would choose a female vice-president, though perhaps not her identity. They could themselves have selected a female running mate, whether Hillary Clinton or anyone else, and decided not to do so. Of course it would have been riskier – is the US ready to elect a black President and female Vice-President on the same ticket? – while McCain’s campaign needs an edge to compete with the excitement whipped-up by Senator Obama’s candidacy. But Senator Obama chose not to go down that route. He wanted someone he could both trust, and be believed would be ready to be President in the worst case. His pick wasn’t inspired, it was responsible.

The choice of your running mate is the first really big decision a presidential candidate has to make. Senator McCain, supposedly the guy with the experience to be trusted with big decisions, took a punt on an unknown to extract partisan advantage. Senator Obama rejected the dazzle of a flashy pick, and steered the moderate, sensible course. Which says it all, really.

And brings me back to my original question: what makes a good deputy? I remember there was some mumbling of discontent when Vince Cable was elected by his Commons colleagues as Ming Campbell’s deputy – does it really look good, it was argued, for the Lib Dems to choose two ageing, bald, grey men to take on the party’s leadership?

Yet when Ming unexpectedly resigned the party discovered it had an unassuming political superstar at its helm. Perhaps Vince’s two rivals, Matthew Taylor and David Heath, would have made an equally good fist of the job. But the fact is that Vince was ready, the right guy for the job at the right time. And that is the true measure of a smart choice for deputy.

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Nice Viz headline . . .

by Laurence Boyce on August 30, 2008 at 3:28 pm. Reply #

Seriously though, I totally agree. It’s well within the bounds of possibility that the 72 year old McCain will not last the course in one way or another. Step forward . . . what was her name again?

by Laurence Boyce on August 30, 2008 at 3:31 pm. Reply #

Stephen is right about Vince, but wrong about Palin. McCain notoriously, and probably rightly, thinks very poorly of the way the Federal US executive branch of government has been run. He has his eye on shaping it up pretty sharply, and if necessarily radically. He judges that is what the USA needs. A safe pair of hands such as Mitt Romney would not deliver that change if left in charge. Sarah Barracuda has shown in Alñaska that she has the will and determination to try.

McCain worries me a lot, but I think he has made this pick in the country’s interests; as he sees them.

by David Heigham on August 30, 2008 at 3:42 pm. Reply #

Cable should have been persuaded to run for leader. But Palin? I agree with Stephen on this. Choice is selfish and will hopefully backfire badly on McCain.

Alaska is small fry. And before 18 months at that she was major of what we’d call a parish council. If she can handle change at the level suggested by David this is not evidenced in her CV.

And her views? Anti-choice, pro-gun, creationist, belligerent, service slasher, position abuser. Meanwhile McCain is reputedly someone who can lose the plot mid-speech or meeting and in scenes reminiscent of Father Ted switch onto generic comments:

“Now that would be an ecumenical matter”

by Chris Paul on August 30, 2008 at 6:05 pm. Reply #

All very well said Stephen. Alaska has 600,000 residents – so being Governor of it is like being Mayor of San Diego or, in our terms, Glasgow. And as Chris Paul says, her experience before Alaska was a Mayor of a town of 6,000 citizens – a parish council clerk indeed.

The McCain camp is saying that she has defence experience because she has been in charge of the Alaskan National Guard. This sounds impressive until you consider that the Alaskan National Guard has 1850 personnel (plus 247 members in the Alaskan State Defense Force). Compare that with 1,427,546 people on active service in the US Armed Forces.

But to really put this into perspective you have to look at some of the people who were passed over for the Veep slot. Tom Ridge. Mitt Romney. Joe Lieberman.

I can quite understand him going for a woman. But would not Kay Bailey Hutchison done more of a service to women in being chosen, than Sarah Palin. As one commentator memntioned, Sarah Plain has not even appeared on “Meet the Press”. Kay Bailey Hutchison is, in contrast, an accomplished and very convincing media performer with 15 years Senate experience including enormous experience of defence and foreign affairs.

Also bear in mind that McCain made this choice having only met Palin briefly once before and on the strength of a phone conversation and one meeting, at which it seems he had already made up his mind.

We should all be very scared. As another commentator said: “Is this a movie?”

by Paul Walter on August 30, 2008 at 7:14 pm. Reply #

I am getting really, really riled by the suggestion that people will now vote for McCain/Palin for reasons of women’s equality.

Just because there’s a vagina on the ticket doesn’t mean it’s the best vote for women’s advancement or rights, and anyone with half a brain can see that Sarah Palin is a right-wing nightmare who would mean more damage than favours for the feminist cause.

by Steph Ashley on August 30, 2008 at 7:34 pm. Reply #

Sorry, I could not get past the title for childish sniggering.

by Jay Entee on August 30, 2008 at 7:46 pm. Reply #

We are told that Palin was brought up in Idaho and is a “regular churchgoer”. Does that mean she is a Mormon? Surely not? That was the main reason for rejecting Mitt Romney.

We are told, too, that Palin’s husband is a Native American. That won’t please the redneck tendency, who regard Native Americans as vermin.

Although Palin’s views are consistently fairly far to the right, she is unlikely to convince extreme Christian conservatives, who disapprove of women with young children working. Palin has the wrong wardrobe for a Stepford wife.

It amazes me that Palin ever won a beauty pageant! How many contestants were there? Was it held in the dark? She reminds me of the youthful Rosemary West, just scarier. Still, if beauty ever had anything to do with getting elected to high office, Lyndon Johnson and Richard Nixon would never have passed the starting line.

I think the real reason McCain chose Governor Palin was to say to the elite that he doesn’t intend to have a “minder”. He is his own man and will do it his way. Most people understand that Bush is simply a puppet and that it is Cheney who exercises de facto power. McCain wants everyone to know that unlike Bush he himself intends to be the boss. And that is frankly spine-chilling, given what we know about this crazy man.

by Sesenco on August 30, 2008 at 11:09 pm. Reply #

What Steph said. The suggestion that women are so shallow that they will vote for someone with a pussy even though she’s completely against anything any sane woman could want makes me want to go all big and green and smash things.

by Jennie on August 30, 2008 at 11:23 pm. Reply #

What on earth does Sarah Palin’s looks have to do with anything ?

by Jay Entee on August 31, 2008 at 12:39 am. Reply #

Steph/Jennie,

I do think that some Hillary voters will support McCain/Palin, while most, if I may be sickeningly partisan, will know better. This isn’t because she’s a woman – although she appealed rather nauseatingly to this in her speech – but because she is promoted as a reformer of the Republican Party. Her youth, her past in ethics reform and her vocal – if laughable – attacks on the “status quo” attempt to insinuate a “break from Bush”.

This cynicism may be futile, as people note that in June she didn’t know what a VP was for, prior to this week she had only met McCain once, and her foreign policy experience constitutes a brief comment on an event that she saw on the news. In the knowledge that she would only be a heart complication away from holding office, this might be exploited.

Ben

by BenSix on August 31, 2008 at 1:01 am. Reply #

Jayentee wrote:

“What on earth does Sarah Palin’s looks have to do with anything ?”

Well, nothing. Except that the Republicans and their media cheerleaders have been trying to make an issue of it.

There is a further reason why a Presidential candidate might wish to choose a duff running mate. Best summed up by “Private Eye” in its brilliant November, 1968 front cover (one of the “Eye’s” very, very best).

“Nixon in by Close Shave,” proclaimed the headline. And what did the jubilant Tricky Dicky say? “No-one’s going to shoot me with Spiro T Agnew next in line.”

by Sesenco on August 31, 2008 at 11:05 pm. Reply #

Steph and Jennie, I think Palin is the wrong choice for all the reasosns Stephen says, but it is a simple fact that there are some – both men and women – who will swing in her direction because she is a woman. Please try not to get so upset about it.

by Laurence Boyce on September 1, 2008 at 2:27 pm. Reply #

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