David Cameron: 2% more popular than Neil Kinnock

by Stephen Tall on December 6, 2006

One year into the job: how’s David Cameron doing? Though there’s much I could say, I’m clearly not the most impartial observer. So I thought I’d let some figures do the talking instead.

The graph below illustrates how Mr Cameron and Mr Blair compare after their first year as leader of the opposition, against their parties’ previous general election results.

Mr Blair took over in July 1994, just over two years after Neil Kinnock’s defeat at the hands of John Major in April 1992.

In the 12 months that followed, Labour’s ICM poll rating averaged 49%, up 14% compared to their general election performance.

Mr Cameron took over in December 2005, six months after Michael Howard’s defeat at the hands of Tony Blair the previous May.

Over the last 12 months, the Tories’ ICM poll rating has averaged 37%, up 4% compared to their general election performance.

You can draw your own conclusions. I infer just one: Mr Cameron, you are no Tony Blair.